Forecasting & Capability Manager

You'll be accountable for leading the forecasting and capability planning processes across Distribution, ensuring operational plans are aligned to customer demand, network capacity and strategic business priorities. Using data-led decision making, stakeholder collaboration and continuous improvement, you'll translate business changes, seasonal events and strategic initiatives into robust, executable volume and capacity plans. You'll proactively identify risks, opportunities and constraints, enabling Distribution to deliver outstanding service while optimising efficiency and cost. As a recognised subject matter expert in forecasting and capability planning, you'll influence decisions across Distribution, Supply Chain, Stores and Technology, helping to shape the future direction and performance of the network. Please be aware this role is based in our Tesco Daventry Clothing Depot, Daventry, Northamptonshire, NN6 7GY You will be responsible for

• Own end-to-end forecasting processes for Distribution Centres, ensuring accurate volume forecasts for Goods In, Goods Out and operational space requirements.
• Develop and maintain robust forecasting models incorporating seasonal events, trading activity, promotions, weather impacts, network changes and strategic initiatives.
• Own forecast accuracy performance and drive continuous improvement through detailed root cause analysis and corrective action plans.
• Monitor forecast performance trends and provide insight, recommendations and mitigation plans to stakeholders.
• Model operational scenarios and assess the impact of strategic, seasonal and network changes.
• Lead capability planning activities across the Distribution network, identifying future capacity requirements, operational constraints and emerging risks.
• Support network optimisation and strategic decision making through detailed data analysis and planning recommendations.
• Represent Distribution within cross-functional working groups, projects and change programmes.
• Build strong collaborative relationships across Distribution, Supply Chain, Store Ordering, Technology, Finance and Retail Operations.
• Influence stakeholders at all levels to achieve aligned business outcomes and successful implementation of planning decisions.
• Communicate complex operational information clearly and concisely to support decision making.
• Drive improvements in forecasting accuracy, planning processes and operational effectiveness. Identify opportunities to simplify processes and reduce manual intervention.
• Champion the adoption of automation, analytics and AI-enabled solutions to improve forecasting capability and planning efficiency.
• Share best practice and promote a culture of continuous improvement across the planning community.
• Validate and prepare planning data for peak, seasonal and business-critical periods.
• Support Distribution Centres and central teams with planning insight, tools and reporting.
• Work closely with Store Ordering teams to balance service requirements, operational capability and customer outcomes.
• Configure and review ordering system settings to ensure alignment with Distribution Centre capability.
• Provide timely and actionable planning updates, risks and recommendations to Distribution Leadership teams.
• Participate in Network Planning weekend duty support.
  
  Experience in forecasting or supply chain planning.
• Strong analytical and problem-solving capability.
• Experience managing and interpreting large data sets.
• Proven ability to influence senior stakeholders and cross-functional delivery.
• Excellent communication, organisation and prioritisation skills.
• Experience delivering operational improvement.
• Ability to work effectively under pressure in a dynamic environment.
• Advanced Excel, Tableau, SQL, VBA or similar analytical tools.
• Desirable
• Distribution or supply chain experience.
• Knowledge of statistical forecasting methodologies.
• Experience with scenario modelling and capacity planning.
• Knowledge of Denver, Store Ordering and Distribution planning systems.
  
  You might know us as a supermarket, technology company or even for our award-winning mobile network. Truth is, we're all of those things, and much more. Our colleagues work with one goal in mind, helping to make every day a little better for our customers, colleagues and communities all over the world. No two customers are the same, neither are our colleagues., Tesco has become a market leader by doing the little things that really matter for our customers and colleagues.
It's part of what makes Tesco such a great place to work, and we're proud to have been accredited as one of Britain's Top Employers again this year. We're the UK's number one retailer and we pride ourselves on offering a great shopping experience. We are passionate about our food, merchandise and services and will always try to get things right for our customers. But did you know we also offer great job opportunities? With stores, distribution centres and offices across the UK, and a vast variety of roles, we are always looking for people who have a hunger to work with customers and colleagues across our exciting business. We believe in treating each other with respect and giving everyone an equal opportunity to get on. It's our people that make the difference every day - helping us make a difference for our customers


• Annual bonus scheme of up to 20% of base salary.
• Holiday starting at 25 days plus a personal day (plus Bank holidays).
• Private medical insurance.
• 26 weeks maternity and adoption leave (12 months service required at the qualifying date) at full pay, followed by 13 weeks of Statutory Maternity Pay or Statutory Adoption Pay, we also offer 6 weeks fully paid paternity leave.
• Free 24/7 virtual GP service, Employee Assistance Programme (EAP) for you and your family, free access to a range of experts to support your mental wellbeing.